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Monitoring Data
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Analysis of source contributions to primary organic carbon and inference of secondary organic carbon contributions at five VISTAS sites using Chemical Mass Balance and Positive Matrix Factorization analyses for organic carbon collected on high volume filters during the period April 2004 through May 2005. Analyses incorporated results of carbon isotope analysis performed for same filter sample by Woods Hole (see TVA document related to C14 analysis below). [PDF Format] |
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Final monitoring data analysis report describing spatial and temporal characteristics of particulate and visibility data for the baseline period (2000-2004) in the VISTAS region. [PDF Format] |
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Appendix A-L from the VISTAS Conceptual Description Support Document. [PDF format] |
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Preliminary visibility and PM data report describing spatial and temporal characteristics of particulate and visibility data (1999-2001) in the VISTAS region. [PDF format] |
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VISTAS IMPROVE Data Substitutions, Air Resource Specialists, Inc. May 2007: Documentation describing data substitution methods used at IMPROVE sites with fewer than three (3) complete years of monitoring data based on Regional Haze Rule guidance. [PDF Format] |
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Results from three (3) continuous monitoring sites in VISTAS to demonstrate an improved understanding of pollutant contributions to PM2.5 and provide an enriched database for evaluating regional air modeling performance. [PDF Format] |
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Results from the National Oceanographic Sciences Accelerator Mass Spectrometer (NOAMS) carbon isotopic analysis at Woods Hole Laboratory, from the same Hi-Vol filter samples collected by DRI 5 VISTAS sites during the period April 2004 through May 2005. [PDF Format] |
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Summary of methods and results of the meteorological characterization study for the 2000-20004 regional haze baseline period and the representativeness of conditions in 2002. The primary tool used for this work was CART (Classification and Regression Tree) analysis. [PDF Format] |
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Discussion of the default method for defining natural conditions and explores issues that suggest using a refined method for defining natural conditions in the VISTAS region. [PDF format] |
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| JOURNAL of the Air & Waste Management Association |
Tombach, I.; Brewer, P., Natural Background Visibility and Regional Haze Goals in the Southeastern United States, Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association, 2005, 55: 1600 - 1620. |
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Brewer, P.F.; Adlhoch, J.P.; Trends in Speciated Fine Particulate Matter and Visibility across Monitoring Networks in the Southeastern United States, Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association, November 2005, 55: 1663-1674 |
Aerosol Data (IMPROVE network speciated aerosol samplers)
Archived data products created from analyses of IMPROVE aerosol data used for RHR SIP analyses are described below. Identification of the 20% best and worst days used in these analyses have been made based on the calculation of total extinction (or deciview) for each day, not on mass concentration. This is true even for data products summarizing mass concentrations for best and worst days. It is important to note that identification of days used in these analyses assumed an equal number of best and worst days. This differs from the method used on the VIEWS web site, where the number of 20% worst days may includes an additional day. (For example, if a given site collected 101 complete samples for a year, the analyses archived here would have identified the cleanest and dirtiest 20 days; analyses on the VIEWS web site would have identified the cleanest 20 and the dirtiest 21 days.) This difference in methodology is not expected to substantively change the interpretation of VISTAS analyses. VISTAS states elected to use the revised IMPROVE algorithm (December 2006) for calculating aerosol extinction rather than the original algorithm, developed in the early 1990s. A few data analyses were performed to investigate the differences between these algorithms, and those are specifically identified below. The revised IMPROVE algorithm is identified by “NIA”, the original algorithm by “OIA”.
Results for all VISTAS IMPROVE monitoring sites and selected surrounding sites outside of VISTAS are included. A full description of analysis products is provided in the ARS final report, VISTAS Conceptual Description Support Document (2007). All of these data summary products were produced by ARS, with the exception of the Glidepath products. These were created by Scott Reynolds, with the South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control.
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Stacked bar charts depicting aerosol contributions for the 20% best and 20% worst days (2002 – 2004) using the new IMPROVE algorithm. [Excel Format] |
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Stacked bar charts depicting extinction for all monitored days during the baseline period (2000-2004). Two charts are presented for sites requiring data substitution. [PDF Format] |
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Stacked bar charts comparing individual best and worst days’ extinction based on the revised and original IMPROVE algorithms. [Excel Format] |
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Aerosol and extinction summaries for all sites together, showing the average of the 20% best and 20% worst days during baseline period (2000-2004). Charts based on both the revised and original IMPROVE algorithms are included. [Excel Format] |
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Comparisons between ambient particle scattering measurements made with open-air nephelometers and IMPROVE aerosol scattering (aerosol extinction minus absorption due to elemental carbon). Charts based on both the revised and original IMPROVE algorithms are included. Together these illustrate why the revised IMPROVE algorithm was adopted: aerosol scattering estimates at the high and low extremes did not agree well with ambient nephelometer measurements. [Excel Format] |
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Glidepaths
The RHR guidance requires reasonable progress to be tracked using the Haze Index (deciviews), which is determined as a logarithmic transformation of the sum of all light extinction terms in the IMPROVE light extinction algorithm. The rate of visibility improvement between baseline conditions in 2000-2004 and natural background conditions in 2064 is defined as the glidepath for the uniform rate of progress toward visibility goals.
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These charts compare RHR deciview glidepaths based on the original and revised IMPROVE algorithms. [Excel Format] |
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These charts present extinction glidepaths. Extinction glidepaths are not defined in the RHR guidance, so their inclusion here is to support demonstrations of reasonable progress for reducing individual species concentrations. [Excel Format] |
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Back Trajectory Analysis
Meteorological back trajectory analyses use interpolated measured or modeled meteorological fields to estimate the most likely central path over geographical areas that provide air to a receptor. Back trajectories account for the impact of wind direction and wind speed on delivery of emissions to the receptor, but do not account for chemical transformation, dispersion and deposition of emissions. VISTAS used back trajectories to investigate typical wind pattern throughout the baseline period and to assist with area of influence analyses.
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Individual back trajectories for best and worst visibility days during 2000-04, based on EDAS met fields. The selection of days was made based on the revised IMPROVE algorithm. [Bitmap Format] |
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Composite of 5 years’ (2000-04) back trajectories based on EDAS met fields for the 20% worst days. The selection of worst days was made based on the revised IMPROVE algorithm. [PDF Format] |
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Compared back trajectories for selected days based on EDAS and MM5 met fields. [Zip files containing bitmap images] |
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Trends
10-year extinction trends for the period 1995-2004 were computed for each site that had at least 5 years of complete data. Emissions reductions were implemented in the eastern U.S. during this period under the Acid Rain provisions of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments and under the NOx SIP call for ozone. Theil slopes were calculated to determine the trend, and p-values were calculated using Mann-Kendall trend analysis to determine the significance of each slope. Lower p-values indicate higher confidence levels in the computed slopes.
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10 year temporal trends for regionally grouped sites; includes standard visual range (SVR), deciview (DV) and extinction (Mm-1). [Excel Format] |
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International Attribution
To account for contribution to mass measured at VISTAS sites from international emissions, VISTAS generated model results with zeroed out Mexican and Canadian emissions, and boundary conditions (as defined by the GEOS-CHEM global model). The difference between the model run with and without the international emissions was used to represent species mass attributable to international sources.
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Comparison of domestic and international attribution of mass on 20% best and 20% worst days (2002 only). [Excel Format] |
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Images with simulated haze levels were generated using WinHaze Visual Air Quality Modeler (Ver 2.9.6). Split images depict simulated 2000-2004 baseline conditions and projected 2018 conditions. Projected 2064 natural conditions were simulated separately. [PDF Format] |
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Daily and quarterly averages of aerosol mass and extinction are provided using both the revised and original IMPROVE algorithms. [Excel Format] |
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VISTAS IMPROVE Data Substitutions, Air Resource Specialists, Inc. May 2007 Documentation describing data substitution methods used at IMPROVE sites with fewer than three (3) complete years of monitoring data based on Regional Haze Rule guidance. [PDF Format] |
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Emission Inventories
Emission inventory data used in regional haze state implementation plans are presented below. The Base G2 inventory is considered Best and Final for 2002. The Base G4 (BaF) inventory is Best and Final for 2009 and 2018. States would have used Base G2 or Base G4 depending on which inventory was available and complete at the time of the SIP preparation and submittal.
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Documentation of Base G2 and Best & Final Emission Inventories used in State Implementation Plan submittals. [PDF Format] |
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Summary of procedures used in developing the final 2002 VISTAS emission inventory (point sources) for regional haze modeling. [PDF Format] |
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Summary of procedures used in developing the final 2002 VISTAS emission inventory (area sources) for regional haze modeling. [PDF Format] |
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Summary of procedures used in developing the final 2002 VISTAS emission inventory (on-road mobile and non-road mobile sources) for regional haze modeling. [PDF Format] |
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The four eastern regional planning organizations (CENRAP, MANE-VU, MRPO, and VISTAS) cooperated in 2005 in a joint IPM run using the IPM version 2.1.9 that was initially developed for EPA. The assumptions used are documented in this memo from ICF. Utility emissions controls were provided by all eastern states. A final report was not prepared. Utility projections were used in regional haze modeling runs by all 4 RPOs. VISTAS states modified these IPM results with utility controls defined subsequent to this 2005 run. [PDF Format] |
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ICF performed initial IPM modeling using the same version of IPM (version 2.1.6) that was used by EPA in the IPM modeling for Clean Air Interstate Rule. Utility control assumptions were updated for the VISTAS states only. |
Base G2
Inventory data summary in NIF format for VISTAS states, annual average, organized at county and SCC tier level for 2002 actual, 2002 typical, 2009 projected and 2018 projected for the following sectors:
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[ZIP file containing .mdb] |
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[ZIP file containing .mdb] |
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[ZIP file containing .mdb] |
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[ZIP file containing .mdb] |
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Base G2 Emission Summaries
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[Excel Format] |
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Base G4 - Best and Final (BaF)
Best and final inventories for 2009 projected and 2018 projected were updated to reflect BART controls, consent decrees, corrections to Base G2 and source specific controls. Only EGU and non-EGU point source records were changed. Area, on-road mobile and non-road mobile inventories did not change from Base G2 scenarios.
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[ZIP file containing .mdb] |
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[ZIP file containing .mdb] |
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[ZIP file containing .mdb] |
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[ZIP file containing .mdb] |
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Best and Final Emission Summaries
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[ZIP file containing Excel worksheets] |
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[Excel Format] |
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Modeling
Emissions and Air Quality Modeling
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Comparison of particulate carbon monitoring analysis and source apportionment using the Chemical Mass Balance (CMB) receptor model with particulate carbon source apportionment modeling using emissions based deterministic photochemical grid model to reconcile monitored and modeled carbon to identify areas of needed improvement. [PDF format] |
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Final version of the Technical Support Document (TSD) for VISTAS modeling used in Regional Haze State Implementation Plans, including updates to previous TSD (November 2007) and 2018 visibility projections for the 2018 Base G4 Best and Final (BaF) emission scenario. Final report without appendices. [PDF format] |
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Appendix A-H from the Technical Support Document. [PDF format] |
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Quality Assurance Activities for VISTAS BC Processing, Morris et al., ENVIRON International Corporation, December 2004: Describes conversion of GEOS-CHEM model outputs to CMAQ boundary conditions. [PDF format] |
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Quality Assurance and Project Plan for VISTAS emissions and air quality modeling efforts. [PDF format] |
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Modeling protocol document detailing systematic meteorological, emissions, and air quality model testing and evaluation to identify the most reliable, scientifically valid, and operational efficient model configuration for VISTAS modeling efforts. [PDF format] |
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Analysis of previous modeling work performed by SESARM/VISTAS during the preparation of Regional Haze, Ozone, and PM2.5 SIPs. This paper addresses the need for further modeling for the daily PM2.5 and revised ozone standards and for the 2012 “mid-course review” required by the Regional Haze Rule, as well as suggesting improvements VISTAS could utilize during the 2009-2010 modeling effort. [PDF format] |
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Summary of international impacts on VISTAS Class 1 Areas. [PDF format] |
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| AMERICANMETEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY |
Odman, M., Hu, Y., Russell, A., Boylan, J., Determining the Sources of Regional Haze in the Southeastern United States using the CMAQ Model, American Meteorological Society, 2007, 46:1731-1743 |
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| ATMOSPHERICENVIRONMENT |
Odman, M. T., Hu, Y., Russell, A. G., Hanedar, A., Boylan, J.W., Brewer, P.F. 2009. Accepted for publication. 2009. Quantifying the sources of ozone, fine particles, and regional haze in the Southeastern U.S. Atmospheric Environment. |
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Tesche, T. W., Morris, R. E., Tonnesen, G., McNally, D. Brewer, P., Boylan, J. 2006. CMAQ/CAMx Annual 2002 Performance Evaluation over the Eastern U. S. Atmospheric Environment. 40: 4906-4919. |
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Morris, R. E., Koo, B., Guenther, A., Yarwood, G., McNally, D., Tesche, T.W., Tonnesen, G., Boylan, J., Brewer, P. 2006. Model sensitivity evaluation for organic carbon using two multi-pollutant air quality models that simulate regional haze in the southeastern United States. Atmospheric Environment. 40: 4960-4972. |
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| JOURNAL of the Air & Waste Management Association |
Morris, R. E., McNally, D. E., Tesche, T.W., Tonnesen, G., Boylan, J.W., Brewer, P. 2005. Preliminary Evaluation of the Community Multiscale Air Quality Model for 2002 over the Southeastern United States. Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association. 55:1694-1708. |
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Global modeling used to develop VISTAS boundary conditions and to estimate contributions from international emissions. [PDF Format] |
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Evaluation and results of meteorological modeling performed by BAMS using the PSU/NCAR mesoscale model (MM5). [PDF format] |
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Meteorological modeling (MM5) protocol document. Includes result of sensitivity tests used to determine optimal modeling conditions. [PDF format] |
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Data
The following air quality modeling data products were prepared by ENVIRON International Corporation in support of VISTAS modeling efforts. For more description and interpretation of modeling products below, please see ENVIRON's VISTAS Technical Support Document.
Model Performance Evaluation (MPE) 2002 Base G2 is Best and Final MPE
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Bugle plots describe monthly model fractional error and bias by species (36 km grid), based on data from the CASTNET, FRM, IMPROVE, NADP, STN and SEARCH networks. Bugle plots indicate that performance standards are tighter for those species that contribute the most to PM2.5 concentrations (SO4, NH4, OC, EC) and that for species with low concentrations, somewhat poorer performance could be acceptable because for low concentrations the model might accurately indicate low concentrations and still have high percentage error or bias. Bugle plots are included for CMAQ and CAMx model runs, and for the MANE-VU, Midwest RPO and VISTAS regions. [Excel Format for 36 km domain wide, 12 km model results for CMAQ for each state, PDF format] |
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Soccer plots describe monthly model fractional error and bias by species (12 km grid) based on data from the CASTNET, FRM, IMPROVE, NADP, STN and SEARCH networks. Soccer plots indicate the model performance goal and criteria values so that monthly model performance can be easily evaluated. Soccer plots are available for each state. [PDF Format] |
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Line plots of monthly average model mean bias by species (36 km grid), based on data from the CASTNET, FRM, IMPROVE, NADP, STN and SEARCH networks. Results are included for CMAQ and CAMx model runs, and for the MANE-VU, Midwest RPO and VISTAS regions. [Excel Format] |
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Stacked bar charts comparing observed data to 2002gt2a (12 km and 36 km) on 20% best and worst days at each Class I Area. [Excel Format] |
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Bar charts of monthly model fractional bias and fractional gross error by species (36 km grid), based on data from the CASTNET, FRM, IMPROVE, NADP, STN and SEARCH networks. Results are included for CMAQ and CAMx model runs, and for the MANE-VU, Midwest RPO and VISTAS regions. [Excel Format for 36 km domain wide, 12 km model results for CMAQ for each pollutant, PDF format] |
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Bar charts of quarterly STN data versus CMAQ and CAMx model results (36 km), by site (AQS ID) and species. Results are included for the MANE-VU, Midwest RPO and VISTAS regions. [Excel Format] |
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Comparisons of percent target reductions achieved using various model scenarios, including New vs Old IMPROVE equation, 2018G4a vs. 2002Gt2a, 12 km grid cells vs. 36 km grid cells. Results are presented for the VISTAS Class I areas and for neighboring Class I areas. Dots above the 100% line indicate that projected progress by 2018 is greater than the uniform rate of progress in visibility improvement. [Excel Format] |
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Extinction response for 2002Gta - 2018G4a by site for 20% worst days or 20% best days, for each VISTAS and neighboring Class I area. Also average change summed over all 20% worst or 20% best days for each Class I Area. [Excel Format] |
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Uniform rate of reasonable progress glide paths and 2018 Base G4a predictions for the 20% worst days, by site, based on 12 km grid cells, the New IMPROVE equation, and Method 1 (EPA guidance) model projections for each VISTAS and neighboring Class I areas.. Results are presented for Extinction or Deciview. Some files include interim results for 2009Base G2a in Deciview projections. [Excel Format] |
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CMAQ projections of visibility response on 20% percent best and worst days at each VISTAS Class I area and neighboring areas to 30% reduction from 2009 VISTAS Base D inventory for visibility-reducing pollutants in different source categories and geographic areas. [Excel Format] |
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Excel spreadsheet of contributions by source category to each Class I Area. [Excel Format] |
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Maps depicting geographic areas where SO2 emissions are most likely to influence Class I Areas on 20% worst visibility days. [PDF Format] See ENVIRON Technical Support Document for description of methods. |
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Appendix H from Technical Support Document. Based on "VISTAS Area of Influence Analyses for Sulfur Dioxide" by Archuleta, Adlhoch, Mansell, Stella, and Brewer (February 2007) and "Procedures for Developing and Displaying AoI Back-trajectories Residence Time GIS Data" by Mansell (August 2007) [PDF Format] |
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Emission Sensitivities
To understand the relative benefit for VISTAS and neighboring Class I areas of further reducing emissions from different pollutants, source sectors, and geographic areas beyond controls expected by 2009, emissions sensitivity runs were completed using CMAQ for two month long episodes in 2002 (Jun 1-Jul 10, summer, and Nov 19 - Dec 19, winter). VISTAS Base D 2009 inventories were reduced by 30 percent for each pollutant, source sector in each state and in the areas of the neighboring regional planning organizations that were in the VISTAS 12-km modeling domain.
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To interpret the impacts of emissions reductions on the 20% worst or 20% best visibility days, model results were averaged for just the 20% worst or 20% best days within the two month-long episodes. This presentation illustrates the number of 20% worst or 20% best days in the modeled episodes for each VISTAS and neighboring Class I area. Results also show the visibility response to a 30% reduction in SO2 emissions from Electric Generating Utilities (EGU) in each state at each VISTAS and neighboring Class I area. [PDF Format] |
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CMAQ projections of visibility response for the average of all modeled summer days and winter days at each VISTAS Class I area and neighboring areas to 30 % reduction from 2009 VISTAS Base D inventory for visibility-reducing pollutants in different source categories and geographic areas. [Excel Format] |
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Supporting Data Summaries
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Summary tables and charts comparing 2002Gt2a and 2018G4a model scenarios for 20% best days and 20% worst days using the old and new IMPROVE algorithms. Files include several alternative projection methods such as correcting for model performance before calculating relative response factors. These alternative methods are discussed in the ENVIRON Technical Support Document but were not used in the regional haze state implementation plans. [Zip file containing multiple Excel Files] |
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Summary tables and charts comparing 2002Gt2a and 2018G4a model scenarios for 20% best days and 20% worst days using the old and new IMPROVE algorithms. [Zip file containing multiple Excel Files] |
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BART Analysis
Meteorological Model Performance Documents
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Outline of the model configuration and application of the Fifth-Generation NCAR/Penn State Mesoscale Model (MM5) v3.6.3 to support photochemical and emissions modeling projects at LADCO and Midwest RPO. [PDF format] |
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Evaluation and results of meteorological modeling performed by BAMS using the PSU/NCAR mesoscale model (MM5). [PDF format] |
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Description of an application of the Pennsylvania State University/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Mesoscale Model (MM5) for a simulation from 15 December 2000 through 28 February 2002 for a domain covering the continental United States. [PDF Format] |
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Please contact your state modeling representative to obtain the 2001-2003 CALMET data for either the 12km or 4km data sets. Please note: these are very large data files (~135 GB for the 12km dataset, and up to ~280 GB for a single domain of 4km data).
VISTAS states are responsible for determining if a source may use the new IMPROVE equation in the BART exemption modeling. VISTAS contracted with Dr. Ivar Tombach to develop a post processor to allow CALPOST outputs to be used with the new IMPROVE equation. Dr. Tombach also provided instructions on how to apply the post processor. VISTAS is providing access to the post processor and instructions for its application on this archive web site, but VISTAS does not have a policy position on the application of the post processor for the new IMPROVE equation. A BART source in a VISTAS state needs to obtain permission from the state to use this post processor. A BART source in a non-VISTAS state needs to contact their state to determine if the state would consider the new IMPROVE equation for BART.
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[Excel Format] |
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VISTAS Summary Materials
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These work products were prepared in mid-2007 and represent VISTAS’ approach to assessing reasonable progress under the Regional Haze Rule. These do not represent final documents or work products used in SIPs.
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Technical Analyses Supporting Regional Haze State Implementation Plans, VISTAS and North Carolina Department of Environment and Natural Resources, June 2007: Summaries of technical analyses intended for use in the preparation of the regional haze state implementation plans, prepared by North Carolina’s Division of Air Quality. This is a preliminary document, not a draft SIP. [PDF Format] |
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| JOURNAL of the Air & Waste Management Association |
Brewer, P. and Moore, T. Accepted for publication, 2009. Source Contributions to Visibility Impairment in the Southeastern and Western United States. Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association. |
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ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGER |
Moore, T. and Brewer, P. 2007. Regional Haze Planning in the Western and Southeastern United States. Environmental Manager: Sept 2007:13-17. |
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